Tuesday’s Tucson Forecast: Scattered storms possible, heating up mid-week

TODAY’S BEAMISH BLOGCAST

THE CLIFF NOTES

7DayForecast081115

Today – 40% chance of storms. 102°, southwest wind 10-15 MPH.

Tonight – Partly cloudy. 78°, southeast wind 5-10 MPH.

Tomorrow – 20% chance of storms. 104°, east-southeast wind 10-15 MPH.

FORECAST DISCUSSION

NAM model valid 3 PM today
NAM model valid 3 PM today

The most active day for the Monsoon this week arrives today.

Metro Tucson features a 70% chance of storms this morning, according to News 4 Meteorologist Jeff Beamish. There is a 40% chance of storms later this afternoon, mainly across Pinal, Pima and Santa Cruz Counties. Storm chances would be higher today if there was not morning activity racing across the state. It is possible that the thunder threat decreases later today if morning storms use up the energy in the atmosphere.

Today’s Monsoon Prediction Index is 5/10 for Tucson, indicating a moderate risk of storms. Gusty winds and blowing dust are the primary threats with today’s activity.

Drier air enters from the east the rest of the work week, decreasing storm chances to the isolated nature and increasing high temps. Tucson reaches 103-105° tomorrow through the weekend. Scattered storm chances return by Monday.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s