Monday’s Tucson Forecast: Spotty storms, cooler temps

TODAY’S BEAMISH BLOGCAST

THE CLIFF NOTES

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Today – 30% chance of AM storms, 85°. Southwest wind 15-25 MPH.

Tonight – 10% chance of storms. 62°, southeast wind 5 MPH.

Tomorrow – 30% chance of storms. 81°, west-northwest wind 10 MPH.

FORECAST DISCUSSION

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Feeling like Fall for the first full week of the new month.

A low pressure trough triggers scattered morning storms in Tucson. Storm chances decrease from 30% through lunchtime to 10% by late afternoon. Daytime highs reach the mid 80s in the Old Pueblo with gusty southwest winds up to 25 MPH.

The best chance of scattered afternoon storms looks to be along and east of a Safford-Bisbee line. A few storms may be severe near the New Mexico state line, with large hail and damaging winds the primary threats. Overnight lows drop to the 50s and 60s with a stray shower or storm possible.

Tuesday features a 30% chance of afternoon storms with temps decreasing to the low 80s. Isolated storms may develop Wednesday as the trough moves east, but most areas begin to dry out mid-week. Daytime highs Wednesday struggle to reach the upper 70s, which is 10° below average for early October.

Temperatures return to the upper 80s/low 90s heading into the weekend, with the departed trough bringing back gusty winds Friday and Saturday. There is a 10% chance of showers this weekend, mostly favoring the mountains.

SKY CANDY OF THE DAY

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Up, up and away! Captured last week by Dawn Hoehn Hagler in Marana.

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