Thursday’s Tucson Forecast: Thunder threat ticking up

TODAY’S BEAMISH BLOGCAST

THE CLIFF NOTES

7DayForecast062316

Today – Partly cloudy. 104°, southwest wind 10-15 MPH.

Tonight – Partly cloudy. 79°, southeast wind 5-10 MPH.

Tomorrow – 10% chance of storms. 103°, west wind 10-15 MPH.

FORECAST DISCUSSION

MoistureTracker062316

Monsoon 2016 is starting to take shape.

The Old Pueblo reaches triple digit territory for the 18th time in 2016 this afternoon. Expect partly cloudy skies across much of southern Arizona today, with a stray shower possible in Metro Tucson. Favored areas for isolated showers & storms today should be in the mountains & International Border. Overnight lows remain balmy thanks to patchy cloud cover.

High pressure currently near the southern Gulf Coast slowly drifts toward the state, keeping winds aloft from the south. This flow allows enough moisture in to warrant isolated storm chances for Metro Tucson starting tomorrow. Rain chances stand at a mere 10% Friday & Saturday as highs remain in the 100s.

Early next week features high pressure near the Four Corners, which is a more favorable pattern for storm development in late June. A 20% chance of storms is in the forecast Sunday through the middle of next week. Areas south and east of Tucson stand the best shot at thunder next week.

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