Monday’s Tucson Forecast: Saguaro soaker potential this week

TODAY’S BEAMISH BLOGCAST

THE CLIFF NOTES

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Today – 20% chance of storms. 103°, west-southwest wind 5-10 MPH.

Tonight – Partly cloudy. 79°, south-southeast wind 5 MPH.

Tomorrow – 70% chance of storms. 96°, west-southwest wind 10 MPH.

FORECAST DISCUSSION

After a mostly quiet weekend, Monsoon 2016 gets a boost from the eastern Pacific.

This afternoon features a 20% chance of storms for Metro Tucson. Areas south and east of Tucson stand the best chance of scattered storms today. Highs reach the 102-104° range, followed by nighttime lows in the upper 70s.

An uptick in rain chances enters the forecast starting tomorrow. Tropical Storm Javier moves up the southern half of Baja California, triggering a surge of moisture up the Gulf of California. This moisture surge could lead to heavy rainfall across portions of southern Arizona tomorrow afternoon through late Wednesday. Metro Tucson stands a 70% chance of storms in this timeframe, decreasing to 40% on Thursday.

Rainfall amounts are expected to be in the 0.50-1.50″ range between Tuesday and early Thursday. A few places could see isolated higher amounts in excess of 2″. It remains unclear where the heaviest rainfall will occur.

Drier air returns by the upcoming weekend, leading to a slight storm chance and highs nearing triple digits.

SKY CANDY OF THE DAY

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Bolts in the blue, taken by Lori Grace Bailey Saturday night in Rio Rico.

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